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I have always been a great admirer of Stuart Rothenberg. His recent column, however, calling lunacy the notion posited by former Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-Ga.), Rep. Eric Cantor (R-Va.) and me that a wave could be building for Republican prospects in the mid-term elections suffers from too great a reliance on polls and not enough on an artful reading between the numbers.
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In his 2008 election, Congressman Frank Kratovil (D-Md.) won a nail-biter by admonishing President George W. Bush for his irresponsible spending. Kratovil promised that once elected, he would “fight to put an end to this fiscal insanity, ... to balance our national checkbook and cut wasteful spending.” Then, just weeks after his swearing-in, he voted for the biggest spending plan in the history of the world.